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ZoneAsia-Pk: Democracy Roars?
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By Minahil K.
ZoneAsia-Pk

The triumph of the tiger whilst a seemingly déjà vu experience, marks a new era in the democratic history of Pakistan. Pakistan's 65-year narrative has taken a turn for the better: the nation has explicitly expressed its will to survive as it exercised its voting rights and a government has completed its five year tenure. A care-taker set-up is in place, anxiously waiting to hand over the burden of state responsibility to the victor. The care-takers with their lack of public mandate have managed to keep things buoyant and have on purpose, refrained from tackling difficult challenges. Perhaps, it is this role only that is suited to them and the bold decision-making falls best within the domain of a government that is voted into power by the masses.

The tiger, though a solitary hunter in its natural habitat now has to carefully select a pack to legitimize the awarded mandate. There are no official announcements as yet but the rumor mills are abuzz with talk of possibilities. While the nation speculates and finds entertainment in placing bets on the likely inductees, it is important to be well-informed about the credentials of the key cubs in question.

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Area 14/8: The Upside to Divisive Power-play
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By Z. FEROZE
Area 14/8

While western scholars deem it necessary to permit a revolution in Pakistan, the question of whether or not we require a messiah has often boggled the intelligentsia. While nationalism and tradition hailed in Balochistan and Punjab respectively, a ghastly series of repercussions garnered results such as the killing of PTI leader Zahra Shahid Hussain in Sindh. Common sense dictates that Sindh is desperately in need for a political messiah to alleviate the town in lieu of target killings, ethnic violence harboring separatism and a scraped social fabric and security. The general disputation among the intelligentsia regarding the failing political situation of Karachi, the hub of the most influential political party in Sindh, has been to chalk out the cause and effect of the town's social tumult. Without doubt, MQM is an important power-player that has repatriated ethnic devises and fuelled ethnocentrism of the Muhajir, directly as well as indirectly. Reduced to victimized manipulation, the people of Karachi have fixated on this politics of division and extortion. With an alarming number of people losing their lives to a lack of social security, the solution to a monochromatic political representation of Karachi has been wishy-washy. The Election of 2013, however, reworked the political dynamics of Karachi and managed to considerably compromise the strain exacted by the MQM influence on the region.

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A tale of lagging passports
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By Z. FEROZE
Area 14/8

Amid the large number of applicants present at the Lahore Passport Office to get their Umrah Visas made for Ramadan,not only did my purpose for requiring a passport seem out of place,its urgency was also insoluble. While the Visa office has been making concessions for people and issuing them with Visas on expired passports,the ETS testing service has not been mindful to this sort of flexibility. With my Masters scholarship deadlines scattered right and left,initiating the procedure for an urgent passport to replace a lost one seemed like the only viable option. Moreover,sparing no expense to appear for my Graduate Record Exam was unavoidable. While I was full of resolution and partly in denial,a part of me was aware that our passport office is out of lamination paper;I was told that the normal waiting time for issuance of an urgent passport is likely to be stretched by up to two months. (The normal waiting time period is four to eight days). Nonetheless,I persevered.

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ZoneAsia-Pk: 100 billion dollars in a wink!
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By Enum Naseer
ZoneAsia-Pk

The country is passing through a decisive period in history and this time, it's not a false alarm- it's a make or break situation. What is trifling in the current context is that the economy (according to Gallup Pakistan) gets only 6% of on-air time in talk shows. It is generally posited that talking about the economy can be a dry, even boring exercise for audiences that have in recent years found the sensationalism in mainstream talk shows addictive and that a discussion of the economy should be reserved for Sunday brunches in elite circles is very telling. Even though there is little point in asserting the all-pervasive effects of economic policies and its ubiquitous shadow in the daily troubles of the average Joe, it is needed. If the people don't take interest and if the debate becomes an elitist pastime, what incentive is there for governments today and in the future, to awaken from their catatonic stupor?

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Area 14/8: A Case of National Social Ignorance
pakistanpal

By Z. Feroze
Area 14/8

As our nation in tatters cries out for a savior through the crevices of a skeptical general election, everyone seems to have something to say. While a number of analysts and PTI supporters tend to rationalize the despair through baseless discourses such as 'An illiterate nation chose an illiterate leader' and the more plausible, 'the elections were rigged. What a rotten, corrupt system', the trends of a loquacious and influential social media are left out. So let me ask, what is this social media? How did it become into a dreadful Lernaean Hydra that cannot be beheaded through a run-of-the-mill sword? Also, is there anything remotely Herculean about Mian saab?

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FP Analysis: Destination Nowhere
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By Enum Naseer
FOR PAKISTAN

The atmosphere is heavy with the smell of rotting corpses, rust and petrol. A beat-up old Rolls Royce, almost on the verge of collapse with a small Union Jack flag on its bonnet, carries the burden of conjoined twins that insist on being driven to the Promised Land creaking and moaning under the weight of their dreams. The fraternal conjoined twins are a sight- the smaller, weaker twin gives the impression that his enthusiasm for the road-trip is the only thing keeping his soul and body intact while the bigger, healthier brother smirks on.

"The belligerent, misguided zealot and his lofty plans!" the stronger brother snickers.

"I've sucked the life out of him anyway and now he wants OUT?" he chuckles.

The road is bumpy: it is confusing and misguiding like a labyrinth. A tussle ensues between the twins for a cashmere sweater that isn't big enough to accommodate two distinctly different individuals fused together. It is made for only one but they continue to pull at the opposite ends. The petty skirmish is now becoming a show of brute force. They hurl verbal assaults at each other. They lay their individual claims on the ownership of the sweater-"mine because it was given to me", "mine because it is me". The sweater is an inanimate and even if it weren't, its opinionwouldn't matter.

"Are we there?" they chorus amidst the frantic tug-of-war.

"No, but let me congratulate you on coming this far," says the driver with ill-disguised sarcasm.

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ZoneAsia-Pk: THE SHARIF ‘SIAPA’
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By Ghalib Sultan
ZoneAsia-Pk

'Siapa' is a wonderfully expressive Punjabi word almost impossible to accurately translate into English. It means a development or situation full of interconnected problems, difficulties, contradictions and intrigues - not easy to resolve and not easy to live with. Why should the elections that catapulted the Sharifs to power be a 'siapa'?

For starters there is the track record of their past stints in power. The first time around they had a President who was a thorough gentleman dedicated to democracy and ready to help them govern. There was also an army Chief who was a thorough professional with zero interest in politics ready to support in every way. The elder Sharif went into totally unnecessary confrontations with them egged on with the sycophants and jesters around him. He took the situation to the point where there was a ludicrous confrontation between the institutions that were a phone call away from each other. The result was an Army brokered arrangement with both the President and the Sharif departing ignominiously.

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Spearhead Analysis: Pakistan’s dance with the democracy
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By Zoon Ahmad Khan, Enum Naseer & Sarah Eleazar
Research Analysts, Spearhead Research - Pakistan

As the Pakistani voter heads for the polling station tomorrow, on May 11, 2013, Pakistan will for the first time in history, allow an elected government to complete its tenure. Despite the multiple and enormous challenges it faces, the nation sees itself united and hopeful for strong stable years to come and democracy to mature. The transition has not been an easy one.

The nation has spent a considerable time under military dictatorships and is currently struggling to keep multiple crises at bay. While rooting for the ideals of democracy has its place and will go a long way in paving way for robust and independent institutions, a true understanding of the metamorphosis is essential in order to internalize democratic values.

Following is an analysis of political discourse, security dilemmas and the economic backdrop behind each election conducted in the country so far. With the aim that reading trends and appreciating lessons from history will help create a more informed opinion.

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ANP: Never say die!
pakistanpal

By Benazir Shah
ZoneAsia-Pk

HE'S LOST 819 OF HIS PARTY COLLEAGUES TO TERRORISM, AND SURVIVED AN ASSASSINATION ATTEMPT IN 2008. WE RECENTLY SPOKE WITH ASFANDYAR WALI KHAN, CHIEF OF THE TALIBAN-THREATENED AWAMI NATIONAL PARTY, WHICH GOVERNED KHYBER-PAKHTUNKHWA PROVINCE UNTIL MARCH, ABOUT SATURDAY'S ELECTIONS AND MORE. EXCERPTS:

The ANP has been mercilessly attacked by the Taliban in the run-up to the elections. As a result your party has been unable to campaign freely. At any point, did you consider not participating in the May 11 polls?

In the last four years, our party has lost a total of 819 workers. Why are we being targeted? Simple: [the Pakistani Taliban] want to keep us out of the elections. For Pakistan these are not just any elections, the new Parliament will have to deal with 2014, when NATO and ISAF forces withdraw from the region. When 2014 comes around, they do not want liberal people to be in the government. These forces want a free hand to do whatever they want, but they will not keep us out. This is not just a war between ANP and the Taliban or Asfandyar Wali and [Taliban kingpin] Hakimullah Mehsud, this is a war between two mindsets. The liberal, progressive, and democratic are on one side. On the other end are those who ruled Afghanistan and later surfaced in Swat. If we back off now, we let them win. The more the elections are delayed, the more bloodshed there will be. It is not going to get any better.

How is your party campaigning?

We cannot run advertisements like the other parties. We just don't have that kind of money. It is common knowledge how much these [cable news] channels charge for broadcasting ads. Our local workers move door to door. The day Haroon and Ghulam Ahmed Bilour were attacked in Peshawar [on April 16], we lost 17 workers. The very next day pamphlets were distributed in the city warning people not to hoist any flags of the ANP or display its posters and stickers. And the same evening in Peshawar, Nowshera, Charsadda, Swabi, and Mardan our party circulated thousands of stickers. The stickers had the party's [electoral] symbol on it, which is the lantern, and a slogan, "Country or Coffin."

Your partner parties the Muttahida Qaumi Movement and Pakistan Peoples Party have also been specifically targeted by the Taliban.

There is some misunderstanding. ANP has not gone into an electoral alliance with the MQM. PPP, MQM, and ANP have borne the brunt of terrorist attacks. We thought that if we got together to raise our voice against the bloodshed, the impact would be different. But let me clarify, again, that this is not an electoral alliance. It might not help the situation, but the three of us share an enemy. The people of Pakistan had been fooled for a very long time in believing that Karachi is the turf of the MQM and ANP. Now at least everyone knows the truth.

Is it accurate to say that the bloodshed in Karachi over the past five years is a result of turf wars among militias affiliated with the ANP, MQM, and PPP?

If I had a Pakhtun militant wing in Karachi, would I be targeted the way I am today? Please do not push us to the wall. That is my biggest fear. Do not push us to a situation where we decide to defend ourselves. The day we start defending ourselves, things are going to take a very ugly turn! If I had a militant wing in Karachi, I don't think anyone would have had the guts to attack me.

'The true referee of the electoral showdown is Hakimullah Mehsud.'

Will election results accurately reflect voters' choice?

Let me make it very clear, ANP has been shoved into a wrestling ring with its hands tied. The opponents stand across from us and their hands are free. Until now, we were under the impression that the referee for these elections was the chief of the Election Commission of Pakistan, Fakhruddin G. Ebrahim. I have the utmost respect for him. But the true referee of the electoral showdown is Hakimullah Mehsud. Look at his statements, he's "allowed" Jamiat Ulema-e-Islam (Fazl), Pakistan Muslim League (Nawaz), Jamaat-e-Islami, Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf to hold public rallies, and he's not "permitted" ANP, MQM or PPP to do the same. Is this his decision to make? Mehsud has clearly defined his friends and his foes.

After the attack on Haroon Bilour, you wrote to the Election Commission demanding more security. What became of that?

Copies of the letter were also sent to the president, the caretaker prime minister, and to the chief justice. Nine days lapsed and nothing happened. There wasn't a word from the ECP. On the 10th day, Ebrahim showed up on television claiming he never received any such letter. That is the last I heard of that. The Election Commission is telling us to make our own security arrangements. Use your own untrained security guards, they say. Now, if these untrained security guards are enough to guard me and my candidates, then they must be capable of also guarding the country? The government took my security away in a very awkward manner, at 9:30 p.m. one night, without even informing me. The security that had been provided to me consisted of one policeman and four guards. The Election Commission denies it ordered it, but then there is written evidence proving it requested all security be withdrawn.

Will you accept the election results without any hesitation?

No, that will depend. It will depend on the results and how things shape up. As far as electoral alliances are concerned, it is still too early to decide that. Let me repeat, since this is a war between two mindsets, I will not go for an alliance with a party which belongs to the other camp. Let's not name anyone. However, I would like to add that of late there is a new phenomenon arising before the elections. A few days ago, two Jamaat-e-Islami workers were caught with 90,000 fake ballot papers. Now new reports are emerging-I am still trying to confirm them-that a Jamaat aspirant's house was raided and another 30,000 to 35,000 bogus ballot papers have been recovered. If these things start developing then there will be a big question mark on the upcoming elections.

What should be the chief priority of the next elected government?

Terrorism needs to be addressed immediately. One has to take control of the field. Right now, the ownership of the field is being challenged. We can continue to fight among ourselves about what we may want to plant in the field, but first we must own it.


FP Analysis: The Population Bomb
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By Enum Naseer
FOR PAKISTAN

It is simple economics: resources are scarce and wants are unlimited. The problem of allocation gets more serious when population growth is unchecked- as is the case in Pakistan. It is confusing hence, that no one has taken the pains to voice the issue in the mainstream media; no political party mentioned it in its rallies; no slogans or chants went further than the usual clichés. While the future leaders and the public busy themselves with the task of wooing and being wooed, the population bomb ticks away. The promises and plans, albeit optimistic and hopeful, evade the population issue almost strategically. It is as if the fact that the unrestrained population growth will have an undesirable impact on the distribution of resources like food has gone unnoticed. Or more so perhaps, the problem has been brushed under the carpet for fear that it may give rise to an uncomfortable debate?

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